Fiscal Sustainability, Public Investment, and Growth in Natural Resource-Rich, Low-Income Countries
Author | : Issouf Samaké |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 35 |
Release | : 2013-06-11 |
ISBN-10 | : 9781484322062 |
ISBN-13 | : 1484322061 |
Rating | : 4/5 (061 Downloads) |
Download or read book Fiscal Sustainability, Public Investment, and Growth in Natural Resource-Rich, Low-Income Countries written by Issouf Samaké and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-06-11 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses the implications of the use of oil revenue for public investment on growth and fiscal sustainability in Cameroon. We develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of such investment on growth and on the path of key fiscal indicators, such as the non-oil primary deficit and public debt. Policy scenarios show that Cameroon’s large infrastructural needs and relatively low current debt levels could justify a temporary deviation from traditional policy advice that suggests saving part of the oil revenue to smooth expenditure over time. Model simulations show that a relatively high degree of efficiency of public investment is needed for scaled-up public investment to make a significant contribution to growth, while maintaining fiscal sustainability.