Faithin Omaha eBook Collection

Download or read book External Imbalances and Financial Crises written by Alan Taylor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-20 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Consider two views of the global financial crisis. One view looks across the border: it blames external imbalances, the unprecedented current account deficits and surpluses in recent years. Another view looks within the border: it faults domestic financial systems where risks originated in excessive credit booms. We can use the lens of macroeconomic and financial history to confront these dueling hypotheses with evidence. The credit boom explanation is the most plausible predictor of crises since the late nineteenth century; global imbalances have only a weak correlation with financial distress compared to indicators drawn from the financial system itself.