An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Jordanian Economy
Author | : Samya Beidas-Strom |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 53 |
Release | : 2011-02-01 |
ISBN-10 | : 9781455216758 |
ISBN-13 | : 1455216755 |
Rating | : 4/5 (755 Downloads) |
Download or read book An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Jordanian Economy written by Samya Beidas-Strom and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-02-01 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents and estimates a small open economy dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model (DSGE) for the Jordanian economy. The model features nominal and real rigidities, imperfect competition and habit formation in the consumer’s utility function. Oil imports are explicitly modeled in the consumption basket and domestic production. Bayesian estimation methods are employed on quarterly Jordanian data. The model’s properties are described by impulse response analysis of identified structural shocks pertinent to the economy. These properties assess the effectiveness of the pegged exchange rate regime in minimizing inflation and output trade-offs. The estimates of the structural parameters fall within plausible ranges, and simulation results suggest that while the peg amplifies output, consumption and (price and wage) inflation volatility, it offers a relatively low risk premium.